No more guessing if the game is starting. Now I get a ‘launching game’ screen.
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I started seeing it too recently. I suspect it is down to a gaming services update.
There is an established discussion on this here https://forums.flightsimulator.com/t/just-started-getting-a-splash-screen-on-launch/517228/
In order to keep everything in the same place I will close this for now, as a duplicate.