I wonder if someone knows for sure what type of prediction model that Asobo use to inject the predicted weather? I heard that NEMS global is in use but are we sure about that? Any source that they tell us that prediction model is in use?
In this video they say they use many different models to predict the weather but what is the model that we should choose to plan the flights we are doing to get the weather that will be injected in live-weather? I think that is very important because if it’s not matching the prediction we compare/planning the weather against we start to compare it with other things like METAR that not matching the prediction either.
Isn’t it some custom model made Meteoblue and METAR (at least for what you can get out of it, like cloud base and ground winds) when close to airports?
Yes now it is after su7. I think the model that is in use now with metar injected togeather with predicted data not fit into the weather system that was in use since release until su7. Metar is old weather data and meteoblue is predicted. Can’t see them fit togeather. If METAR report overcast and meteoblue clear sky it will not match and is hard to make a good tansission of that.
And i just want to know for sure what type of prediction model is used to be able to plan the flight properly. I can’t compare it with METAR or real current weather because it’s predicted and it may not happen IRL.
at 6:10 he says something like, the further away from that point of reference the more made up the weather is. Thats why it will say overcast but shows clear skies. They must be using their own model that is only accurate from around the few places they are getting their data from. In game the metar is the actual real life metar but the sim is showing the made up weather…It seems that way to me anyway. Even the qnh numbers are way off… I miss the days of active sky and knowing that those clouds were actually somewhat there and relative in real life as well. Maybe another year or 2 lol
Yes maybe it will be more accurate that way not more realistic. The metar is very local observation of the weather. Prediction of the weather is global and predicts where the weather is moving. Then that prediction is what we can see in the sim maybe not always accurate but realistic and dynamic. With METAR they need to inject a local report and then stretch that out globally. That is not realistic maybe more accurate. Metar is not always accurate either.
The thing we need to know where to find the predicted weather and that is what i asking about to know where to find the predicted weather that is happening in the sim. Now i only know that it’s predicted but not what type of prediction model that is used to inject that realistic weather in the sim.
I found this, the guy in the video was talking about the grids and 60 atmospheric layers, which this is explaining how and the limitations to their modeling and forecasting. Makes sense now to why areas do not match real life conditions. Theres also a map to the area’s they cover and a fair bit of the world isnt covered
Forecast limitations
Thunderstorms : The exact placement and timing of thunderstorms are almost impossible to predict and the associated amount of precipitation or hail can vary significantly.
*Stratus clouds : Fog and low clouds are often invisible to most models and to satellites, and as such models may agree despite uncertainty. As a result, models may overestimate sunny conditions in areas prone to fog.
*Topography : Complex mountain terrain is very challenging for weather predictions. Low clouds and precipitation can rapidly develop there without being detected, and will then not be sufficiently considered in the weather model.
But as you can see there is many models that has various outcome of the weather prediction. I think it’s a combined model that injects the weather in the sim. And what is the name of that?
Here we can see many different models. What should we choose? NEMS global i think but is not sure of that.
Exactly that should make us expect less than we did from release. Many expected to have the current real time weather in the sim. It’s not possible. Integrate METAR will not make the weather more realistic in the sim. Maybe more accurate at that small local spot on earth i don’t know for sure. We can’t compare it to real life because it’s not real life. It’s a sim with the most realistic weather we ever had in a sim before. Now it’s going back to old METAR standards again.
To make it more accurate they need to improve the forecasts not integrate METAR and we need to know what type of forecast model is in use to be able to plan the flights with forecasts instead.
If you want to compare what Meteoblue have on their website site with what is in the sim, I suspect NEMS Global would be the best choice. However, what I can’t tell is if any of their regional models are also injected. But I doubt it.
I think so too. But i’m not sure because i never seen they mention what model is used to inject the weather. Would be real good to know for sure. Then we can compare if it matches the prediction. I don’t think we should compare this weather system with real life weather that occuring now because that will not always match if you know what i mean?
And we all need to know that it does not and never will be to 100% even with METAR integrated.
