Now the clouds are already almost gone haha
One thing I’ve noticed since SU7 and they changed something with the meteoblue data, is that the forecasts for the UK or what it has predicted have been pretty poor. This seems down to meteoblue rather than Asobo. I’ve experienced similar to what @AndyXPO experienced in EGNX where I’ve expected cloud and it’s been clear skies. But then I’ve checked meteoblue data in the cross section and it’s predicted clear skies so it matched that. It seems they’ve given some more power back to the prediction model on that if it says clear skies predicted but metar says overcast it seems to favour the meteoblue data and it’ll show the clear skies. I suspect it’s because when they have too much power to the METAR it was caused these towering clouds to appear too much.
Just my thoughts. Yesterday with Nantes it was definitely a missing or incorrect data issue as we saw, which they seemed to resolve.
I wonder if we are placing too much logic in this and the real answer is just the the whole thing is totally messed up and there is rhyme or reason why we see what we see…
Sorry maybe too negative, but just getting tired of it now.
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yeah could very much be haha
it’s not about being negative or anything - on the contrary - if something doesn’t work, for whatever reason, server, faulty update (maybe even user error) or whatever, it should be said. the point was that the weather before SU6 “looked good” but didn’t correspond to what one would have expected from METAR - now it was changed to be more “accurate” - I think the reason for the “changeover” was the inaccuracy - and it’s not that much better now, or apparently users have different results!
of course one can’t expect what one sees in “nature” 1:1 no question but again a comparative picture:
real “close” LOXT:
and visually similar to this picture I have seen more in the SIM before SU6 !
SIM (at the same time, completely wrong) !
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I just tested in Brazil where there should be active thunderstorms (even Meteoblue forecasts those thunderstorms) but in the sim it’s sadly just a couple of cumulus clouds, so I don’t know, in Europe the weather seemed better, but in South America, not so much
But this just hasn’t happened it practice, the weather doesn’t match the METAR.
So it is neither accurate nor visually plausible, realistic looking, etc. So the new system is totally flawed and has not a single positive aspect.
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Couldn’t agree more. That sums it up absolutely spot on.
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That’s what I actually meant !
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Meteoblue to blame here once again unfortunately. It’s not predicted that cloud cover. Can see from the cross section and also coverage % of only 1%
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The METAR is now CAVOK, maybe a classic example of why using METAR is futile. Maybe it found the 1%?
The issue is here, is the Meteoblue forecast got it wrong, it said clear skies. But the METAR clearly hasn’t improved the depiction, because even though it said broken cloud, it still showed clear skies.
So what’s the point of METAR?
Maybe the METAR was wrong, google is saying it is clear. I’m in Oxford not Gatwick, but it’s a cold night, most likely clear skies.
What seems is most likely has happened, is an overcast layer or part of it that has been quite localised has passed over and it’s not been picked up by the forecasting software. Just a downside of meteoblue really, its resolution is not high enough to pick up these more localised areas of cloud/weather. It does a better job at depicting wider fronts etc.
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Here’s the cloud cover around Gatwick. as suspected it looks like a relatively small area of cloud has passed over the airport
I am reluctant to say it, but the weather does seem to be ‘looking’ better regardless of accuracy.
At Newquay earlier, looks more realistic than it has to me.
For me you know how much I’ve criticised it, but past couple of days I have seen an overall improved depiction with more varied cloud types, but it still has its issues. It’s capable of really beautiful and accurate, and really bad still. Some examples from today:
Seems in certain depictions there’s still this over exaggeration of convective clouds. One trigger I’ve found (and reported via zendesk) seems to be the presence of SN in the METAR triggers the towering again.
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